Last week was another great week for road teams, and it brought us up over the break-even point for the year. Now seems like a good time to bail on that particular wave, but can we pick the right home teams this time around?
Road teams are 56-34 against the spread through six weeks of the 2019 season. We’re really hoping that trend continues with 12 away teams in 14 picks this week, but at least KC and Matt Moore got us off to a good start on Thursday!
Just as everyone predicted, our two remaining undefeated teams are the New England Patriots and…the San Francisco 49ers? Let’s squint into our five weeks of data and see what we should really be reacting to.
Fifteen games, and eleven road teams picked. I usually don’t like to skew so heavily one way, but home field advantage isn’t what it used to be. Let’s go on the road and show those snobby box seat owners how it’s done!
Miami is only a 16.5-point underdog this week; we’ll pick against them until they prove they can cover a spread. Also putting faith in: Daniel Jones, Mitchell Trubisky, and Andy Dalton. This is 2019!